比尔盖茨对话OpenAI CEO山姆奥尔特曼：2024.11.11盖茨播客连线Sam Altman，完整版，中英文字幕，关于人工智能一手的信息
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英文要点如下：
1. Looking ahead to the next two years, the three most important milestones in artificial intelligence are: first, the improvement of reasoning ability and reliability; second, the development of multimodal capabilities (speech input/output, image/video); and third, customization and personalization, generating different styles and assumptions according to different needs.
2. The frightening aspect of artificial intelligence lies in the fact that this is the "fastest" technological revolution in human history. Society needs to adapt to its development at what speed, and what changes will occur in the labor market.
3. Existing AI models will become the dumbest models, at least in the next five or ten years. This technology will be on a very steep growth curve.
4. The cost of AI systems decreases with each evaluation: in the three-plus years since the launch of GPT-3, the cost has decreased by 40 times, and with GPT-3.5, the cost has decreased by nearly 10 times.
5. The world's basic model consists of intelligent and energy costs. Lowering the cost of intelligence to near zero will be a transformative change for society.
6. In the future, extremely powerful systems will be 10,000 or 1,000,000 times the computing power of GPT-4. AI will impact society, the balance of geopolitical power, and many other things. Therefore, a global institution may be needed to regulate the most powerful systems globally, similar to the International Atomic Energy Agency's regulation of nuclear weapons.
7. After AI matures, where should humanity go? Ultimately, AI will be able to do more things similar to human work today, and humans will certainly find new and better jobs.
1. Looking ahead to the next two years, the three most important milestones in artificial intelligence are: first, the improvement of reasoning ability and reliability; second, the development of multimodal capabilities (speech input/output, image/video); and third, customization and personalization, generating different styles and assumptions according to different needs.
2. The frightening aspect of artificial intelligence lies in the fact that this is the "fastest" technological revolution in human history. Society needs to adapt to its development at what speed, and what changes will occur in the labor market.
3. Existing AI models will become the dumbest models, at least in the next five or ten years. This technology will be on a very steep growth curve.
4. The cost of AI systems decreases with each evaluation: in the three-plus years since the launch of GPT-3, the cost has decreased by 40 times, and with GPT-3.5, the cost has decreased by nearly 10 times.
5. The world's basic model consists of intelligent and energy costs. Lowering the cost of intelligence to near zero will be a transformative change for society.
6. In the future, extremely powerful systems will be 10,000 or 1,000,000 times the computing power of GPT-4. AI will impact society, the balance of geopolitical power, and many other things. Therefore, a global institution may be needed to regulate the most powerful systems globally, similar to the International Atomic Energy Agency's regulation of nuclear weapons.
7. After AI matures, where should humanity go? Ultimately, AI will be able to do more things similar to human work today, and humans will certainly find new and better jobs.
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